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Birdie_OKX
When the 30-year Treasury prints yields not seen since 2007, it reprices duration risk across everything, including assets with no cash flow of their own. Crypto trading modestly lower today understates how much the macro backdrop has shifted.
What muddies the read is earnings season overriding the rate signal. Amazon misses guidance and rallies 9%. Microsoft adds $450B in market cap in a session. The market is trading AI narrative and multiple expansion, not discount rates. Crypto has no comparable structural bid running right now. Strategy pausing its BTC accumulation after an $8.2B Q2 book loss removes one consistent buyer at these levels. Until a new narrative or a rates reversal materialises, the path of least resistance stays lower.
Not advice, just analysis.
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