梭哈.AI

梭哈.AI

|ALL IN Crypto & AI |相信相信的力量 |超级个体/数字游民 |X同名

20Following
246followers

Feed

梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
特朗普媒体公司(DJT)的付费数据服务「Truth API」已于8月1日正式上线 该服务仅面向机构用户,提供授权的毫秒级实时数据源,可直接获取特朗普及其他高影响力账号在Truth Social上的帖子 最高收费每月10万美元,目前需通过邮件licensing@tmediatech.com申请对接 感兴趣的机构大哥可以行动了🤔
The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Trump Media has officially launched its new paid data service, providing faster access to Truth Social posts from President Trump. The new service is called "Truth API" which gives firms "a direct, licensed, real-time feed of the platform’s most market-moving Truths," the company's CEO said in a press release. The service reportedly costs as much as $100,000/month.
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
感谢OKX的邀请🤩 这次活动的体验拉满了,OKX不会忽略任何一个人,能体会到各种细节 见到了好多高手,还有好多美女!现在还是太兴奋了根本睡不着🫨明天再整理照片 找了个网吧用OKX Wallet @wallet 玩玩! 香港网吧的延迟:3Ms|370FPS 太恐怖了 谁能告诉我 太空狗Asteroid,Giggle,$marscoin发生了什么?🤔
Mercy_okx
Mercy_okx
一个OKX不仅能连接全球资产 还能带你看遍全球赛事😆😆😆 @Cryptosis9_OKX @qinbafrank @Web3Feng @KuiGas @agintender @Bitwux @UnicornBitcoin @punk2898 @0xBeyondLee @BitInvolution @Rocky_Bitcoin @Riconomi @0xpeas @Pandachen007 @CryptoBigHand @xingpt @ChaincatcherEth @Jiajia_OKX @misaENFP @Cayne_okx @Haiteng_okx @star_okx
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
It's really a pity not to watch this OKX Planet live broadcast; that night was the bottom for storage. @sunlc_crypto explained the US stock storage sector thoroughly on the evening of July 29: still optimistic about AI and storage demand in the long term, but won't chase Hynix at high levels; will wait for storage to drop before gradually building positions. Later, he clearly gave a short-term bottom-fishing strategy on X. In the following two days, the storage sector quickly rebounded, with a maximum increase close to 30%... The entire live broadcast was packed with valuable information, I highly recommend everyone listen to the replay. @Mercy_okx is really great at choosing topics, right? Watching the live broadcast can immediately make money, amazing!
Mercy_okx
Mercy_okx
A great miracle day! The judgment made in the live broadcast the day before yesterday was verified by the market today In the live broadcast on the planet the night before last, @sunlc_crypto repeatedly gave precise judgments: Storage is undergoing the growing pains of transitioning from a cyclical stock to a growth stock, and extreme panic may actually bring better layout opportunities; meanwhile, high-quality software companies that were heavily oversold earlier will also see a revaluation. Last night, the US stock storage sector rebounded strongly: Roundhill Memory ETF rose 16.7%, Micron rose 18.4%; Microsoft surged 15.5% after its earnings report, marking the largest single-day gain in nearly 18 years. The Korean stock market continues to rebound, with SK Hynix surging intraday, though the real-time gains are still fluctuating. The market gave feedback in just one day. But more important than predicting rises and falls is: when the market falls into panic, how to distinguish which are trend endings and which are just mispricings of quality assets. This is only a preview. For those who can't wait for the premium edit, you can first go to OKX Planet to watch the full replay. The complete premium edit will be available in two days~
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
周末推荐阅读的精选文章: 1. Gavin Baker (@GavinSBaker) 置顶帖 — 市场对超大规模信用利差扩大的反应过度 2. WSJ (@WSJmarkets) — 宾客已到婚礼现场,他的 450 亿美元基金却在崩盘 3. @FundaAI — SPCX:xAI 8GW 建设布局图 4. Vikram Sekar (@vikramskr) — AI 交易烧毁了:第二轮开始(这次更清醒一点…) 5. @damnang2 — CXMT 上市后,存储三巨头还有多少下行空间? 6. @SemiAnalysis_ — AMD 能否打破 CUDA 护城河?AMD Advancing AI 2026 ───
Paradis Labs
Paradis Labs
Recommended reading for the weekend: 1. Gavin Baker (@GavinSBaker) pinned post — Market is overreacting to hyperscale credit spreads widening 2. WSJ — His Wedding Guests Were Arriving - Just as His $45 Billion Fund Was Falling Apart 3. @FundaAI — SPCX: xAI 8GW Buildout Mapping 4. Vikram Sekar (@vikramskr) — The AI Trade Burned Down: Let Round 2 Begin (with more sanity this time...) 5. @damnang2 — After CXMT's Listing, Do the Memory Three Have Further to Fall? 6. @SemiAnalysis_ — Can AMD break the CUDA Moat? AMD Advancing AI 2026 Essential Reading: $AMZN / $MSFT / $META Earnings Transcripts
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
Brothers losing money, don't be discouraged This handsome guy lost 10 billion USD at 25 years old #PCE环比转负,GDP增速放缓至1.5%
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
这是Leopold 最新发给他们合伙人的信件 Leopold @leopoldasch 首先承认了他们严重得失误:7月基金遭遇重大回撤(月度约-67%),AI股票腰斩、多空价差剧烈反转,叠加流动性枯竭,一度逼近永久性资本损失。他明确表示完全承担责任,并坦言“我们让你们失望了” 为保命,他们在周三晚/周四紧急去杠杆:大宗交易处理公开仓位、平掉所有空头、取消融资依赖,把公开账簿改成全额付款(无保证金风险),保住了基金和私人仓位 基金没有关闭、没有清算,仍以公开-私人混合模式继续运作,但公开仓位暂时全额付款管理 Leopold承诺会强化风险管理和韧性,把这次昂贵伤疤变成真正的教训 他对当前机会依然乐观(基本面加速改善、价格已大幅下跌),自己几乎全部资金都在基金里,并表示愿意一对一沟通。年初至今仍+80% Leopold看起来是十分诚恳了,加油🫡
TBPN
TBPN
Here is the full letter Leopold sent to his LPs last night. Rumors of his demise are greatly exaggerated.
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
This is what a genius trader looks like #PCE环比转负,GDP增速放缓至1.5%
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
How do experts in the English-speaking community view storage? I've compiled public opinions from 50+ KOLs I've organized public discussions from over 50 English-speaking KOLs (macro / US stocks) from roughly the past two weeks, covering $MU, $SNDK, $SKHY, and storage sector linkages. Below, I'll walk you through the market sentiment and thought processes in the English-speaking community so you can clearly understand how experts view this round of brutal market conditions. ─── I. Bullish Logic 1. Big tech capital expenditures haven't been cut; claims that AI will reduce spending don't hold up @aleabitoreddit believes: The narrative of "excess computing power and cloud providers cutting spending" has been disproven in recent weeks; Amazon and others are still confirming computing power shortages, which is bullish for upstream semiconductors. @DavidMorganInv states: Amazon's earnings report directly shatters the "AI computing power surplus / big tech cutting spending" narrative; Google, Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft all confirm shortages. @danadams_46 says: After this quarter's earnings, AI infrastructure hasn't weakened but strengthened; Google, Microsoft, and others continue to increase AI capital expenditures, with money flowing to the hardware chain, so rebounds in $MU and others are unsurprising. 2. Amazon raises capital expenditure and specifically mentions memory becoming more expensive @aleabitoreddit notes: Amazon's 2026 capital expenditure increased from about 200 billion to about 220 billion, partly due to higher memory costs, which is bullish for $MU and Samsung. @mahvid123 says: The extra spending mainly comes from rising memory prices, not just building more data centers—storage costs are rising first even with the same construction. @DavidMorganInv adds: Even with the 220 billion figure, Amazon's spending still doesn't cover 2026 demand, 2027 is tight as well, and capacity is already booked further out; upstream supply chains including storage remain constrained. 3. Industry shortages persist; memory prices are still rising @PhotonCap believes: A big part of this rebound comes from Samsung's warning—DRAM, NAND, and HBM shortages may last until 2028; this weakens short-term worries that ChangXin's expansion will cause oversupply. @ren_stocks notes: While DDR5 spot prices are still rising, storage stock prices fell first; for MU and SKHY, rising DDR5 prices for servers almost directly translate to profits, so they are bullish on storage. @SemiconductorsX retweets Morgan Stanley's view: The big drop in US storage stocks is actually a buying opportunity; data center/AI shortages persist, while PC/consumer noise exists; DRAM price increases and shortage timelines remain expected. @PolymarketMoney also emphasized Morgan Stanley analysts calling SNDK and MU pullbacks strong entry points. 4. HBM and product cycles indicate this is not just sentiment-driven @PhotonCap says: $MU has started volume shipments of HBM4 for Nvidia's Vera Rubin and looks ahead to HBM4E; the increase in memory usage per AI server remains a structural driver. @mrcooler6868 believes: The market seems to be selling $MU and $SNDK on the assumption that "AI memory/storage demand has peaked," but this is a mistaken sell-off—HBM volume growth and SanDisk's high data center revenue growth continue unless supply catches up with demand first. 5. The crash involved forced liquidations; after selling pressure subsides, a rebound follows @joveg8 summarizes: The recent crash was related to forced selling; after related funds publicly finished liquidating positions, manual selling pressure decreased; Microsoft, Meta, and others' earnings reassure that "AI spending continues"; Samsung's shortage narrative supports pricing power; when SNDK and MU surged, WDC, STX, and storage ETFs moved together. @MacroAlphaHQ believes: The simultaneous surge in SNDK and MU indicates bottom-fishing inflows; storage is a highly elastic semiconductor segment, with under-allocated positions chasing and shorts covering, so buying can self-sustain—but it remains to be seen if this spreads to broader chips. 6. After a deep price drop, a second bottom-fishing opportunity appears @ianmirikwa uses price trends to say: SNDK, MU, and $SKHY dropped from highs then rebounded, giving the market a second chance; most say it's over, but some buy at discounted prices amid panic. @lastman3344 says: The pullback involved profit-taking and leverage washout; HBM sold out, prices rose, data center demand remains, and capital is flowing back; this is a structurally driven rebound, not a confirmed full trend reversal, so it needs to be defended. 7. For SK Hynix, watch HBM positioning and insider moves @danadams_46 singles out $SKHY: Still at the center of the AI memory cycle; the drop is sentiment-driven. In research windows, @StockSavvyShay and others reported SK chairman increasing $SKHY holdings; @WhaleInsider and others reported UBS and others having a positive coverage and target price on SK Hynix—English-speaking community interprets this as sell-side and insiders not accepting that fundamentals are dead. 8. The sector moves together; it's not a single-stock story @MacroAlphaHQ and @joveg8 both emphasize: It's not $MU or $SNDK each telling their own story; the entire storage chain is moving together. Trading implication: You're playing storage sector elasticity, not suddenly loving only SanDisk today. ─── II. Bearish Logic 1. Bubble and peak @FinanceLancelot wrote during the big drop: SNDK, MU, and $SKHY collapsing together may signal the end of the memory and AI bubbles; later framed it as a "bubble returning to normal"—retail investors tend to go all-in at the wrong stage, with big money unloading the last leg. 2. Bears have real market representatives: Burry increasing shorts on $MU @StockSavvyShay, @EhrmantrautCap_, and others discussed Michael Burry increasing shorts on $MU. @EhrmantrautCap_ bullishly retorted that shorts will be squeezed; some accounts agreed with Burry, unwilling to hold Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron, and SanDisk anymore. Bear logic: Not based on sentiment but on real money shorting at cycle tops. 3. The rebound is for reducing positions; if it doesn't hold, it's over @MacroAlphaHQ: If it doesn't spread to broader semiconductors, this is pure position behavior; today's bottom-fishing is tomorrow's selling. @lastman3344 also noted failure conditions: If the close doesn't hold and it's only sentiment-driven, don't treat it as a trend. 4. High-level pullbacks indicate large volatility damage @Mr_Derivatives and others emphasized $SNDK's significant pullback from historical highs. Bear interpretation: Elasticity is two-way; a 20% one-day rise doesn't prove risk is gone; poor position management can cause losses even if logic is correct. 5. Supply and competition will eventually pressure prices @PhotonCap's question itself reflects bear concerns: Will ChangXin impact MU, SKHY, Samsung? Bulls counter with "shortages lasting until 2028," bears focus on mid-term supply. Many English KOLs also mention China's capacity expansion, customer self-development, and DRAM commoditization—profit margins are unlikely to stay at extreme highs long-term. ─── There are also many neutral articles from KOLs, which I won't include here. If anyone is interested, feel free to leave a comment 🫡
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
Recent Major Events in the AI Circle (Avoiding Mindless Hype) 1. DeepSeek: V4-Flash Official Version API Public Beta • DeepSeek announced the public beta of the DeepSeek-V4-Flash official version API • Officially stated that Agent capabilities have significantly improved, with multiple metrics surpassing the previous V4-Pro preview version • Community/benchmark comparisons: multiple benchmarks exceed GLM-5.2; some long-range programming tasks approach Claude Opus 4.8 (e.g., DeepSWE scores rose from about 7 to just over 54, Opus about 59) • Pricing approximately $0.14 input / $0.28 output (per million tokens); cache hit rate is lower • Architecture and parameter count remain basically unchanged; this upgrade is mainly post-training; V4-Pro official version not yet released Community testing: Independent organization Artificial Analysis comprehensive index about 50, close to GPT-5.6 Luna and GLM-5.2 (about 51), not a clear leader; open-source overall ranking still behind Kimi K3. Some high scores may include official Agent scaffolding, awaiting third-party retesting. Still pure text; peak time prices may double 2. OpenAI: GPT-5.6 Price Reduction • GPT-5.6 Luna price cut about 80%, approximately $0.20 / $1.20 (million input/output) • GPT-5.6 Terra price cut about 20%, approximately $2 / $12 • Sol price unchanged, added faster Fast mode (about 2.5x speed, 2x price) Note: Price cuts apply to mid- and low-tier models; flagship models remain unchanged; still relatively more expensive than some Chinese models 3. MiniMax: H3 Video Model Release • Released H3, supports text, image, video, and audio input • Can generate about 15-second, 2K video with native sound • Officially stated weights will be open-sourced soon; cost claimed to be about one-third lower than mainstream competitors for 2K video 4. ByteDance: Seedance 2.5 Release • Released Seedance 2.5 around the same time as MiniMax • Can generate about 30-second videos per session, emphasizing long narratives and multiple reference materials • Will launch products like Jimeng and Doubao, with APIs gradually opening 5. Zhipu GLM: Coding Package Price Increase • GLM Coding / Token related packages increased in price; subscriptions reopened • Community feedback: entry-level tier roughly doubled or more; high-tier reportedly increased from about $22 to $79 This is really a big mess ───
梭哈.AI
梭哈.AI
卧槽,本轮的美股之子Leopold割肉了 包括 50% 的 Anthropic 股份?CNBC报道:他们最大的仓位达到450亿美金,如果吃满跌幅的话那就是200+亿美金…(仓位不确定) 如果是真的话,这个位置很大几率就是底部了…Leopold可是本轮AI基础设施的绝对明星啊😲
amit
amit
oh my goodness CNBC reporting Situational Awareness sold their ENTIRE PUBLIC book including 50% of their Anthropic bro...this guy was the poster child of the ai infra trade he was 4 times levered...this is absolutely crazy did he sell the bottom? did we need this to happen to put in a low? or did he lose faith in the entire AI trade and sell it all?